Wednesday, December 26, 2012

GUJARAT VERDICT 2012


Rejecting the Gujarat Verdict 2012 in view of the strong anti-Modi wave and atmosphere in Gujarat social activists from Gujarat released following questions and points at a press conference today organised at the Deputy Chairman Hall, Constitution Club of India. Among those who addressed the media were Uttam Parmar from Jan Lok Samiti, Manan Trivedi, Tanvi Soni, Dev Desai, Manish Dhakad and Shabnam Hashmi. A DVD of Bole Gujarat videos was released. Unheard Voices from Maninagar, Modi constituency was screened debunking the hype around vibrant and developed Gujarat.
SOME IMPORTANT POINTS AND QUESTIONS:
1. Corporate media totally blocked from the nation the strong dissent that was taking place in Gujarat. Demonstrations, dharnas, strikes, opposition by the government employees, farmers, Tribals, aanganwadi and asha workers, women both middle class and poor on the question of women security, Dalits , students and youth in general, parents of the missing children, anti-corruption, movements by maldharis, unorganised workers and hundreds of such protests were all blacked out systematically.
2. Gujarat has mainly two political parties and if Modi was to be defeated then Congress was the only force which could have done it. For the first time in ten years Congress was highly visible and led a strong opposition from the grass root to the social media despite all its inherent problems.
3. Congress’s 12 programme got a huge response from the people and especially Ghar nu Ghar a scheme was a major hit and over 40 lakh women filled the forms.
4. The development bubble had totally burst for the major section of the population except a small percentage of middle class. Even within this class the growing insecurity of women became a major question.
5. Rural Gujarat suffering from poverty, no water, health facilities, education showed huge discontent.
6. Modi’s 3D used to attract people was a flop in majority of areas. Photographs of empty chairs appeared regularly in local print media and even local channels.
7. Modi was visibly shaken and nervous and according to the media reports shifted huge number of files from CM residence before and after the first round of polling.
8. Many prominent BJP leaders who never visited their constituencies were seen going from area to area asking for votes.
9. Huge numbers of urban poor, tribals, dalits and women came out and voted from the most marginalised sections.
10. On 17thafter giving his vote on 17thModi came out, declared that he was winning and his body language was very confident- a big departure from his condition of the last one month.
11. On 20thonce the results came in and except for the crowd outside BJP office there were no celebrations, no one on the roads shouting on motorcycles, no fire crackers. In fact there was an uneasy calm. People from across Gujarat not only called us up but all around there was an atmosphere of disbelief including atleast 10-15% urban middle class.
12. What happened between the 15th evening and 17th morning that turned the tables is a big question?
13. Despite the claims of the election Commission we do not rule out the possibility of EVM machines being compromised by using programming. It has happened in many developed countries.
14. What were the US diplomats : Robert W Carlson, Consul for Political and Economic Affairs; Brafus Kaalund, Vice Consul for Political Affairs doing in Gujarat just before the elections? There were also several foreign diplomats and reporters parked in Gujarat.
15. Why on the very next day after the results US made a statement- ‘Gujarat remains an important state for American investment and has shown itself to be a very welcoming environment where American businesses flourish’ State Department spokesperson.
16. Was the total blockade, of the dissent within Gujarat, done so that after Modi wins the election again the people across India say: Oh we knew it, he was going to win?
We have many examples in South Asia and other countries of the world where foreign powers have propped up dictators to kill flourishing democracies by manipulating results.
We call upon the conscience of the nation, political parties, media to rise above the interest of their individual parties, corporate houses and conduct an independent investigation into the Gujarat Verdict 2012. We also demand that use of EVM machines should be abandoned in any future elections. We do not hold any brief for the Congress, however we also appeal to the Congress to revisit the results and investigate. It seems Congress is so used to the defeat in Gujarat that it is shying away from questioning a verdict which was turned over night. If Gujarat was used as the laboratory of the hate ideology it can also be used as the laboratory of undermining the democracy further.
Uttam Parmar
Shabnam Hashmi
Manan Trivedi
Analyses of Election Result
53 Seats which the Congress was strong in on the ground and was defeated in:
Anand, Bapunagar, Becharaji( kadva patel), Bhavnagar Rural, Botad,Dabhoi, Dasada,Daskroi, Deodar,Dhandhuka, Dholka,Dhangadra, Dwarka,Fatehpura, Gadhada, Gandhinagar North, Gandhinagar South, Gandevi, Gondal (NCP), Jhagadiya, Jamalpur-Khadiya, Jamnagar South, Jetpur ( South Gujarat), Kalavad, Kalol ( Panchmahal), Kamrej,Katargam, Keshod, Kheralu, Kodinar,Limkheda, Mandvi ( Kutch), Mangrol ( Junagarh), Matar, Mehsana, Nandod, Nizar, Padra, Padri, Patan, Petlad,Porbandar, Radhanpur, Rajkot Rural, Rapar, Shehera, Surat East, Talaja, Waghra, Vatva, Vav, Vejalpur, Vijapur
While some of the above seats were lost due to rebel candidates, some by independent candidates and some by NCP and GPP candidates, defeat on many seats look unconvincing. There r either very high votes for the BJP candidate or for the GPP or one independent. This needs investigation.
Seats which where Congress was weak but won: Palitana, Amreli, Dahod, Dhoraji, Manavadar, Palanpur, Rajkot East, Sankheda, Sojitra



Name of constituency

Congress

bjp

gpp

Other

Congress weak seats

Seats where Congress was strong on the ground



Abdasa

60704

53091

19631

10025


^



Akota

45687

95554

1985

4576

^













Amraivadi

43258

108683

1876

7395

^




Amreli

86583

56690

16454



^



Anand

81969

82956

1534



^



Anjar

60061

64789

2514






Anklav

81575

51256

1315

6805


^



Ankleshvar

51202

82645

705

8074

^




Asarava

41784

76829

1193

4557

^




Balasinor

87088

69917

2009

14388


^



Bapunagar

48455

51058

3006

10206


^



Bardoli

58777

81049

2516

6932

^




Bayad

74646

38723

-

40326


^



Bechraji

61991

68447

13998

8568


^



Bharuch

55029

92219

1032

6715

^




Bhavnagar east

45867

85375

2237

10848

^




Bhavnagar west

38691

92584

1495

6105

^




Bhavnagar Rural

65426

83980

3463



^



Bhiloda

95799

64256

2181

12860


^



Bhuj

60201

69174

2991

21584

^




Borsad

83621

62587

1586

7889


^



Botad

76179

86184

2127

13331


^



chanasama

66638

83462

-

10749

^




Chhota udaipur

65043

62738

3906

16100


^



choryasi

52279

119917

2511

16631





chotila

60139

72111

2993

8591

^




Dabhoi

65711

70833

-

7368


^



dahod

73956

34408

1355

24234

^




Dang

45637

43215

1281

10569


^



Danilimada

73573

59272

901

4095


^



Danta

73751

46761

1319

23816


^



Dariapur

60967

58346

-

4645


^



Dasada

54764

65404

2911

9968


^



Daskroi

58180

95813

7363

12562


^



Dediyapada

53916

56471

1909

40126

^




Deesa

48588

66294

2454

38446

^




Dehgam

61043

58746

-

8721


^



Deodar

55456

76265

4196

20552


^



Devgadhbaria

29829

113582

1625

15629

^




Dhandhuka

49296

77573

1553

9940


^



Dharampur

82319

67021

-

12500


^



Dhanera

87460

57169

-

12971


^



Dhari

39941

38966

41516

10203


^



Dholka

56397

75242

1396

11238


^



Dhoraji

76189

73246

1429

13110

^




Dhangadhra

70218

87621

12911

13290


^



Dwarka

64446

70062

1879

11962


^



Ellisbridge

29959

106631

9075

5428

^




Fatehpura

51564

57828

11559

-


^



Gadhada

56073

66415

12158

10547


^



Gadhinagar north

69326

73551

1660

4895


^



Gadhinagar south

79988

87999

2225

7431


^



Gandevi

78240

104417

4398

3922


^



gandhidham

51675

72988

2769

10931

^




garbada

69295

33521

2947

14673


^



gariyadhar

37349

53377

5252

23666

^




ghatlodiya

44204

154599

2829


^




godhra

73367

70499

591

15024


^



gondal

-ncp- 3519

79709

59943



^



Halol

60648

93854

6999

7339

^




himatnagar

85008

72652

387

16551


^



Idar

78899

90279

2110

11554

^




jaghadia

53318

36473

8056

72763


^



jalalpor

58930

76797

2800

5425

^




Jamalpur-khadiya

41727

48058

713

33900


^



jambusar

56134

74864

1035

13084

^




jamjodhpur

47204

75395

5627

6833

^




Jamnagar north

61642

52194

1118

7023


^



Jamnagar rural

60499

57195

1310

10852


^



Jamnagar south

53032

55894

5747

6406


^



jasdan

78055

67208

7028

12112


^



Jetpur ( saurashtra)

85827

67794

2323

11438


^



jetpur

57693

61966

1765

22222


^



jhalod

78077

38004

3063

13154


^



junagarh

52873

66669

16386


^




kadi

84276

83059

1769

7904


^



kalavad

42908

49027

33418

9067


^



Kalol ( pachmahal)

39219

69275

20690

25488


^



kalol

64757

64414

543

13383


^



kamrej

64661

126032

20445

8739


^



kankrej

73900

73300

7371

8998


^



kapdvanj

88641

82044

3030

17634


^



kaprada

85780

67095

2674

17634


^



karanj

16257

65696

9655

1561

^




karjan

64736

68225

637

7773

^




katargaam

45332

88604

28621

3297


^



keshod

45835

53772

25499

8724


^



khambhaliya

40705

79087

15765

22207

^




khambhat

59375

74761

5443

3489

^




khedbrmha

88488

38351

1956

20300


^



kheralu

49809

68195

1826

6917


^



kodinar

54842

63319

2602

8959


^



kutiyana

NCP 61416

42942

965

9949


^



lathi

48793

46029

13004

22778


^



limbayat

49423

79744

2497

18604

^




limbdi

72203

70642

2560

12775


^



limkheda

51888

67219

1740

13218


^



lunawada

72814

69113

4429

15488


^



mahudha

58373

45143

616

34138


^



mahuva

62474

74161

1554

17293

^




mahuva

27855

57498

2124

34229

^




majura

32021

103577

1235

3882





Mandvi ( surat)

83298

58904

2046

11310


^



Mandvi ( kutch)

53478

61984

12720

25046


^



Mangrol ( junagarh)

52738

68452

-

7285


^



Mangrol

48149

79255

2084

10839

^




maninagar

34097

120470

-

5240

^




manjalpur

40857

92642

505

3469

^




mansa

78068

70040

416

6925


^



manavadar

72879

68477

10985

6756

^




matar

64534

71021

4152

12924


^



mehmdabad

68767

64586

11662

7050


^



mehsana

65929

90134

-

7316


^



modasa

88879

66021

1781

7730


^



morbi

74626

77386

1781

7380

^




Morva hadaf

56886

45597

1102

16913


^



nadiad

68748

75335

482

6649

^




Nandod

63853

79580

1652

13502


^



naranpura

40653

103988

-

5519

^




naroda

37981

96333

4451

6699

^




navsari

65620

81601

1650

7474

^




nikol

39584

88886

4870

6056

^




nizar

80267

90191

1342

20818


^



olpad

69747

106805

5040

10508

^




padra

70919

75227

1474

9156


^



palitana

69396

55071

13045

20849

^




palanpur

75097

69813

764

11783

^




pardi

47252

84563

532

8128

^




patan

61353

67224

6443

28612


^



petlad

77312

65120

1960

6729


^



porbandar

60458

77604

1166

6214


^



prantij

76097

69083

1654

12207


^



radhanpur

65659

69493

2256

13966


^



Rajkot east

60877

56605

20003

17552

^




Rajkot rural

46287

57753

36446

9078


^



Rajkot south

48831

77308

8410

2308

^




Rajkot west

65427

90405

5194

5856

^




rajula

56737

75447

3302

10359

^




raopur

57728

99263

982

4375

^




rapar

46064

55280

1819

14976


^



sabarmati

39453

107036

1943

3387

^




sanand

73453

69305

1506

9508


^



sankheda

80579

79127

3141

10272

^




santrapmpur

68026

42372

5739

11347


^



savarkundla

34862

37246

14107

45281

^




savli

42530(ind)

25597

391

14405


^



sayajiganj

49121

107358

977

4160

^




sehera

47743

76468

12562

17592


^ ( x)



sidhhapur

87518

61694

373

11088


^



sojitra

65210

65048

642

7345

^




somnath

56701

54605

-

44676


^



Surat east

56860

72649

2136

3540


^



Surat north

37656

59690

2646

4567

^




Surat west

29368

99099

2894

1976

^




talaja

33513

66357

1509

2553


^



talala

62722

61244

10599

6533


^



tankara

48223

63630

11051

27981

^




Thakkarbapa nagar

39480

88731

6708

5898

^




tharad

65044

68517

-

28232

^




thasra

78226

72726

1813

9940


^



udhana

42192

74946

5845

6462





umergaov

41151

69450

1345

30900

^




umreth

NCP 67363

65969

642

27450





una

69824

62317

6441

9483


^



unjha

51507

75708

-

8529

^




vadgam

90375

68536

686

9391


^



vaghara

54194

68512

1974



^



vaghodia

60063

65851

3558

25274

^




Vadodra city

51811

103700

1367

5063

^




valsad

57659

93658

1528

9223

^




vansad

105829

80213

4239

13626


^



Varachha road

48170

68529

8890

1796

^




vatva

48648

95580

1444

13807


^



vav

60729

72640

-

39999


^



vejalpur

72522

113507

2133

6826


^



vijapur

70729

61970

933

9943


^



viramgaam

84930

67947


8108


^



visavdar


43781

85967

18973


^



visnagar

NCP 46786

76185

981

17121

^




vyara

73138

59582

920

15902


^



wadwan

65491

83049

2694

10383


^



wankaner

59038

53727

30319

8626


^


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