Friday, May 3, 2013

Reserve Bank has cut the interest rate


Reserve Bank has cut the key interest rate by just 0.25 pc to 7.25 pc and kept the liquidity enhancing cash reserve requirement unchanged, disappointing the industry and stock market.
The RBI in its annual monetary policy statement said there would be modest improvement in the country's economic growth to 5.7 percent in the current fiscal, as against the decade's low of 5 percent in 2012-13.

Justifying the limited easing, RBI Governor D Subbarao on Friday said the "monetary policy action, by itself, cannot revive growth. It needs to be supplemented by efforts towards easing the supply bottlenecks, improving governance and stepping public investment".

The BSE benchmark Sensex dropped by half a percent in the immediate aftermath of the policy announcement.

The upside risks to inflation, which cooled to a three- year low in March, "still remain significant" in the near term on suppressed inflation on the energy front, Subbarao added.

"Overall, the balance of risks stemming from the Reserve Bank's assessment of the growth-inflation dynamic yields little space for further policy easing," he said.

The decision to leave the CRR unchanged seems to have been driven by an improvement in the liquidity deficit, as the banks are now drawing around Rs 84,000 crore from the overnight window compared to Rs 1.8 lakh crore late last fiscal.

RBI expects inflation to hover broadly around the 5.5 percent mark in the current fiscal and said it will deploy "all instruments at command" to bring it down to 5 percent by March next year.

Referring to the Cobrapost sting on the country's top three private banks allegedly helping launder money, the RBI said the ongoing investigations have underlined the need for better regulatory compliance by banks.

Even though factors like lower commodity prices and narrowing fiscal deficit would help stem inflation, RBI said the "upside risks to inflation are still significant in the short term" in view of supply imbalances, correction in administrative prices of fuel and rising minimum support price for crops.

Given these factors, "monetary policy cannot afford to lower its guard against the possibility of resurgence in inflation pressures," Subbarao said.

Describing the widening current account deficit and its financing as the biggest threat to monetary policy, RBI warned that growth would slip if governance is not improved and supply constraints are not unlocked.

The central bank expects non-food credit growth to pick up marginally to 15 percent in 2013-14 from 14 percent achieved in the previous fiscal and deposit mobilisation to be flat at 14 percent.

There were a slew of measures on the regulation of banks and non-bank entities.

RBI said its probe into the Cobrapost sting allegation have revealed the need for better adherence to regulatory compliance by banks as some aberrations have been found.

It also said that banks are not carrying out customer due diligence as per requirements while marketing and distributing third-party products and said guidelines with remedial action regarding the same will come later.

Referring to customer services, it asked banks to stop differential treatment to home-branch and non-home branch customers, apart from asking banks to price retail loans at uniform rates.

With the falling gold prices making lenders uncomfortable, it also asked banks not to lend against gold coins above 50 grams.


Following are the highlights of the RBI's annual monetary policy 2013-14:* Key short-term lending rate (repo) cut by 0.25 pc to 7.25 pc.
* Cash reserve ratio kept unchanged at 4 per cent.
* RBI says assessment of growth-inflation dynamics limits scope for further easing of policy rate.
* FY14 GDP growth pegged at 5.7 per cent, down from govt's estimates.
* Inflation to remain range-bound around 5.5 pc in FY14.
* CAD is the biggest risk to the economy.
* RBI proposes doubling of limits on priority sector lending to MSMEs to Rs 5 cr.
* Banks asked to stop differential treatment to home-branch and non-home branch customers.
* RBI says probe into Cobrapost's sting operation calls for a better regulatory compliance by banks.
* Banks not carrying out customer due diligence as required while marketing and distributing third-party products.
* RBI proposes restricting gold imports only to meet genuine needs of exporters of gold jewellery.
* Banks asked to set up mechanism to monitor and review implementation of Direct Benefit Transfer.
* Mid-quarter review of policy on 17th June.

Rate cut measured response to current eco situation: Rangarajan

The Reserve Bank's decision to cut the key interest rate by 0.25 pc to 7.25 pc is a measured response to the current economic situation, Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) Chairman C Rangarajan said.

"It is a measured response to the current economic situation. WPI inflation has shown signs of decline and the retail inflation still remains at a high level, CAD is also high," Rangarajan said in New Delhi on Friday.

The overall inflation in March fell to 5.96 percent. He added that further policy rate cut by RBI will depend on how inflation behaves.

"At this particular point, one has to be somehow cautious because there are many adverse factors operating in the system. Going ahead what RBI will do depends to a large extent on how inflation behaves," Rangarajan said.

RBI Governor D Subbarao in the annual monetary policy review on Friday cut the key interest rate by just 0.25 percent to 7.25 percent and kept the liquidity enhancing cash reserve requirement unchanged, disappointing the industry and stock market.

The RBI said there would be modest improvement in the country's economic growth to 5.7 percent in the current fiscal, as against the decade's low of 5 percent in 2012-13.

However, RBI's growth projection for the current fiscal is lower than Rangarajan headed panel's (PMEAC) growth projection of 6.4 percent for 2013-14.

The central bank said it expects inflation to hover broadly around the 5.5 percent mark in the current fiscal and will deploy all instruments at command to bring it down to 5 percent by March next year

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