“Vote Share” and “Representativeness” of newly elected MPs - 2014
Association for Democratic Reforms and National Election Watch have analysed the percentage of votes won by the newly elected MPs of Lok Sabha elections, 2014 and their representativeness among the total number of registered voters. The data disclosed by the Election Commission of India on their website (http://eci.nic.in/eci_main1/index.aspx) has been used for this report.
The percentage of representativeness was calculated by dividing the votes polled for the winner by the electorate i.e. the total number of registered voters. This value represents the percentage of votes won by the winning candidate among the total number of registered voters in the constituency.
Representativeness = Total Votes Polled for Winner/Total No. of Registered Voters
The percentage of vote share was calculated by dividing the votes polled for the winner by the total number of valid votes. This value represents the percentage of votes won by the winning candidate among the total number of valid votes polled.
Vote Share = Total Votes Polled for Winner/Total No. of Valid Votes Polled
Summary and Highlights
Vote Share
- Average vote share of winners: The winners of the Lok Sabha 2014 elections won by an average of 47% of total votes polled. In Lok Sabha elections 2009, the winners won by an average of 44% of total votes polled.
- Vote Share of less than 50%: 331 (61%) winners have won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituency.
- Vote Share of less than 40%: 99 (18%) winners have won with less than 40% of total votes polled in their constituency.
- Vote Share of less than 30%: 4 winners have won with less than 30% of total votes polled in their constituency. They are;
S.No.
|
Candidate
|
State
|
Constituency
|
Party
|
Total Registered Voters
|
Total Votes Polled
|
Total Votes Polled for Winner
|
% Vote Share
|
1
|
Thupstan Chhewang
|
Jammu & Kashmir
|
Ladakh
|
BJP
|
1,66,763
|
1,18,029
|
31,111
|
26%
|
2
|
Ravneet Singh Bittu
|
Punjab
|
Ludhiana
|
INC
|
15,61,201
|
11,00,457
|
3,00,459
|
27%
|
3
|
Prof. Azmeera Seetaram Naik
|
Andhra Pradesh
|
Mahabubabad
|
TRS
|
13,87,343
|
11,24,370
|
3,20,569
|
29%
|
4
|
Md. Salim
|
West Bengal
|
Raiganj
|
CPI(M)
|
13,87,526
|
11,08,193
|
3,17,515
|
29%
|
- Party-wise vote share of less than 50%: Out of 282 winners of BJP, 142 (50%) have won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituency. 37 (84%) out of 44 winners from INC, 30 (81%) out of 37 winners from AIADMK, 28 (82%) out of 34 winners from AITC, 13 (65%) out of 20 winners from BJD and 6 (33%) out of 18 winners from Shiv Sena won with less than 50% of total votes polled in their constituency.
- Winners with highest vote share: Jardosh Darshnaben Vikrambhai of BJP from Surat Constituency won with a vote share of 76% of total votes polled from his constituency. He is followed by Narendra Modi of BJP from Vadodara constituency with 73% of total votes polled and Patil Chandrakant Raghunath of BJP from Navsari constituency with 71% of total votes polled in the constituency.
Representativeness
- Average representativeness of winners: All the winners of the Lok Sabha 2014 elections won with an average of 31% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represent on an average, 31% of the total electorate. In Lok Sabha elections 2009, the winners won by an average of 26% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners in 2009, represented on an average, 26% of the total electorate.
- Winners with Representativeness of more than 50%: Only 4 MPs out of 543 have shown representativeness of more than 50% and they are:
Constituency
|
Candidate Name
|
Party
|
Total Registered Voters
|
Total Votes Polled for Winner
|
% of Representativeness
|
Nagaland
|
Neiphiu Rio
|
NPF
|
11,82,948
|
7,13,372
|
60%
|
Tripura East
|
Jitendra Choudhury
|
CPI(M)
|
11,40,269
|
6,23,771
|
55%
|
Tripura West
|
Sankar Prasad Datta
|
CPI(M)
|
12,48,550
|
6,71,665
|
54%
|
Vadodara
|
Narendra Modi
|
BJP
|
16,38,321
|
8,45,464
|
52%
|
- Winners with Representativeness of less than 40%: 475 (87%) winners have won with less than 40% of total registered voters in their constituency.
- Winners with Representativeness of less than 30%: 211 (39%) winners have won with less than 30% of total registered voters in their constituency.
- Winners with Representativeness of less than 20%: 19 candidates have won with less than 20% of total registered voters in their constituency.
- Party-wise Representativeness of less than 40%: Out of 282 winners of BJP, 250 (89%) have won with less than 40% of votes out of total registered voters in their constituency. 42(95%) out of 44 winners from INC, 34 (92%) out of 37 winners from AIADMK, 27 (79%) out of 34 winners from AITC, 18 (90%) out of 20 winners from BJD and all 18 winners from Shiv Sena won with less than 40% of votes out of total registered voters in their constituency.
- Winners with lowest representativeness: Tariq Hameed Karra from Srinagar constituency won with 13% out of the total registered voters in the constituency followed by Muzaffar Hussain Baig from Baramulla constituency and Mehbooba Mufti from Anantnag constituency both with 15% out of the total registered voters in their constituency. All three winners are from JKPDP.
None of the Above
- The total number votes polled for NOTA: The total number of votes polled for the None-of-the-Above option was 60,00,197 (60 lakhs plus) votes.
- Percentage of votes polled for NOTA: 1.08% of total votes polled were for the None-of-the-Above button
- Highest percentage of votes polled for NOTA in a constituency: The highest percentage of votes polled for NOTA was in Bastar constituency, Chhattisgarh with 38772 (5.04%) votes polled followed by Nilgiris constituency, Tamil Nadu with 46559 (4.99%) votes polled for NOTA and 44408 (4.34%) votes in Nabarangpur constituency, Odisha.
Media and Journalist Helpline
+91 80103 94248
Email: adr@adrindia.org
|
Maj.Gen. (Retd) Anil Verma
Head
National Election Watch,
Association for Democratic Reforms
011 4165 4200,
+91 88264 79910
|
Prof Jagdeep Chhokar
IIM Ahmedabad (Retd.)
Founder Member,
National Election Watch, Association for Democratic
Reforms
+91 99996 20944
|
Prof Trilochan Sastry
IIM Bangalore
Founder Member,
National Election Watch,
Association for Democratic Reforms
+91 94483 53285
|
--
Association for Democratic Reforms
“Kiwanis Centre”, 4th Floor,
B-35, Qutub Institutional Area
(Near Rockland Hospital)
New Delhi-110 016
M: +91 8010394248
T: +91 11 41654200/01/02/03
F: 011 4609 4248
No comments:
Post a Comment